Retail Sales (MoM)

Retail Sales data published by the US Census Bureau is a leading indicator that gives important information about consumer spending, which has a significant impact on the GDP. Although strong sales figures are likely to boost the USD, external factors, such as weather conditions, could distort the data and paint a misleading picture. In addition to the headline data, changes in the Retail Sales Control Group could trigger a market reaction as it is used to prepare the estimates of Personal Consumption Expenditures for most goods.

Most recent - Thursday 15 August 2024 12:30

Previous
-0.2%
Revised
-0.2%
Forecast
0.3%
Actual
1%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Next event - Tuesday 17 September 2024 12:30

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is high.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (MoM) was 1% against a forecast of 0.3%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 15 August 2024 12:30
0.3%
1%
Tuesday 16 July 2024 12:30
0%
0%
Tuesday 18 June 2024 12:30
0.2%
0.1%
Wednesday 15 May 2024 12:30
0.4%
0%
Monday 15 April 2024 12:30
0.3%
0.7%
Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30
0.8%
0.6%
Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30
-0.1%
-0.8%
Wednesday 17 January 2024 13:30
0.4%
0.6%
Thursday 14 December 2023 13:30
-0.1%
0.3%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 13:30
-0.3%
-0.1%
Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30
0.3%
0.7%
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30
0.2%
0.6%
Tuesday 15 August 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.7%
Tuesday 18 July 2023 12:30
0.5%
0.2%
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30
-0.1%
0.3%
Tuesday 16 May 2023 12:30
0.7%
0.4%
Friday 14 April 2023 12:30
-0.4%
-1%
Wednesday 15 March 2023 12:30
-0.3%
-0.4%
Wednesday 15 February 2023 13:30
1.8%
3%
Wednesday 18 January 2023 13:30
-0.8%
-1.1%
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30
-0.1%
-0.6%
Wednesday 16 November 2022 13:30
1%
1.3%
Friday 14 October 2022 12:30
0.2%
0%
Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30
0%
0.3%
Wednesday 17 August 2022 12:30
0.1%
0%
Friday 15 July 2022 12:30
0.8%
1%
Wednesday 15 June 2022 12:30
0.2%
-0.3%
Tuesday 17 May 2022 12:30
0.7%
0.9%
Thursday 14 April 2022 12:30
0.6%
0.5%
Wednesday 16 March 2022 12:30
0.4%
0.3%
Wednesday 16 February 2022 13:30
2%
3.8%
Friday 14 January 2022 13:30
0%
-1.9%
Wednesday 15 December 2021 13:30
0.8%
0.3%
Tuesday 16 November 2021 13:30
1.4%
1.7%
Friday 15 October 2021 12:30
-0.2%
0.7%
Thursday 16 September 2021 12:30
-0.8%
0.7%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
Monthly Budget StatementBearish change$-244B$-380B
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change228K230K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0%0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.1%1.7%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change-0.2%0.3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change2.3%2.4%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.2%0.2%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.9%2.5%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)(no change)3.2%3.2%
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bullish change3.6%3.8%
Labor Force Participation Rate(no change)62.7%62.7%
Nonfarm PayrollsBullish change89K142K
U6 Underemployment RateBearish change7.8%7.9%
Unemployment RateBullish change4.3%4.2%
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change51.150.2
ISM Services New Orders IndexBullish change52.453
ISM Services PMIBullish change51.451.5
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change5757.3
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change54.154.6
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change232K227K
Nonfarm ProductivityBullish change2.3%2.5%
Unit Labor CostsBearish change0.9%0.4%
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change111K99K
Challenger Job CutsBullish change25.885K75.891K
Factory Orders (MoM)Bullish change-3.3%5%
JOLTS Job OpeningsBearish change7.91M7.673M
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change43.446
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBearish change47.444.6
ISM Manufacturing PMIBullish change46.847.2
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBullish change52.954
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change67.867.9
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation(no change)3%3%
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBullish change45.346.1
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.2%0.2%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.6%2.6%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.5%2.5%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Personal SpendingBullish change0.3%0.5%

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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