Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/GBP pairs and bearish for GBP/xxx pairs.
The typical/expected impact on GBP pairs is medium.
There is no forecast value for Retail Sales (YoY) yet - check back for updates.
The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (YoY) was 1.7% against a forecast of 1.8%.
Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (YoY) result:
Previous | Latest | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Sales (MoM) | Bullish change | -2.7% | 0.9% | ||
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM) | Bullish change | -2.9% | 0.6% | ||
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY) | Bullish change | -1.2% | 1.8% | ||
GfK Consumer Confidence | Bearish change | -18 | -19 | ||
S&P Global Composite PMI | Bearish change | 52 | 51 | ||
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | Bullish change | 47.7 | 48.2 | ||
S&P Global Services PMI | Bearish change | 52.8 | 51.2 | ||
Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr) | Bearish change | 5.3% | 5% | ||
Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr) | Bearish change | 5.4% | 5% | ||
Claimant Count Change | Bullish change | 33.1K | 25.9K | ||
Claimant Count Rate | (no change) | 4.5% | 4.5% | ||
Employment Change (3M) | Bullish change | 89K | 134K | ||
ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) | Bearish change | 4.6% | 4.7% | ||
Consumer Price Index (MoM) | Bullish change | 0.2% | 0.3% | ||
Consumer Price Index (YoY) | Bullish change | 3.4% | 3.6% | ||
Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) | Bullish change | 3.5% | 3.7% | ||
Retail Price Index (MoM) | Bullish change | 0.2% | 0.4% | ||
Retail Price Index (YoY) | Bullish change | 4.3% | 4.4% | ||
BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales (YoY) | Bullish change | 0.6% | 2.7% |
Country: | United Kingdom |
---|---|
Currency: | GBP |
Source: | Office for National Statistics |
Category: | Consumption |
Frequency: | Monthly |