Retail Sales (MoM)

Retail Sales data published by the US Census Bureau is a leading indicator that gives important information about consumer spending, which has a significant impact on the GDP. Although strong sales figures are likely to boost the USD, external factors, such as weather conditions, could distort the data and paint a misleading picture. In addition to the headline data, changes in the Retail Sales Control Group could trigger a market reaction as it is used to prepare the estimates of Personal Consumption Expenditures for most goods.

Most recent - Tuesday 10 February 2026 13:30

Previous
0.6%
Revised
-
Forecast
0.4%
Actual
0%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Tuesday 17 March 2026 12:30

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is high.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (MoM) was 0% against a forecast of 0.4%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Tuesday 10 February 2026 13:30
0.4%
0%
Wednesday 14 January 2026 13:30
0.4%
0.6%
Tuesday 16 December 2025 13:30
0.1%
0%
Tuesday 25 November 2025 13:30
0.4%
0.2%
Friday 14 November 2025 13:30
0.4%
-
Thursday 16 October 2025 12:30
0.4%
-
Tuesday 16 September 2025 12:30
0.2%
0.6%
Friday 15 August 2025 12:30
0.5%
0.5%
Thursday 17 July 2025 12:30
0.1%
0.6%
Tuesday 17 June 2025 12:30
-0.7%
-0.9%
Thursday 15 May 2025 12:30
0%
0.1%
Wednesday 16 April 2025 12:30
1.3%
1.4%
Monday 17 March 2025 12:30
0.7%
0.2%
Friday 14 February 2025 13:30
-0.1%
-0.9%
Thursday 16 January 2025 13:30
0.6%
0.4%
Tuesday 17 December 2024 13:30
0.5%
0.7%
Friday 15 November 2024 13:30
0.3%
0.4%
Thursday 17 October 2024 12:30
0.3%
0.4%
Tuesday 17 September 2024 12:30
-0.2%
0.1%
Thursday 15 August 2024 12:30
0.3%
1%
Tuesday 16 July 2024 12:30
0%
0%
Tuesday 18 June 2024 12:30
0.2%
0.1%
Wednesday 15 May 2024 12:30
0.4%
0%
Monday 15 April 2024 12:30
0.3%
0.7%
Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30
0.8%
0.6%
Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30
-0.1%
-0.8%
Wednesday 17 January 2024 13:30
0.4%
0.6%
Thursday 14 December 2023 13:30
-0.1%
0.3%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 13:30
-0.3%
-0.1%
Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30
0.3%
0.7%
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30
0.2%
0.6%
Tuesday 15 August 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.7%
Tuesday 18 July 2023 12:30
0.5%
0.2%
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30
-0.1%
0.3%
Tuesday 16 May 2023 12:30
0.7%
0.4%
Friday 14 April 2023 12:30
-0.4%
-1%
Wednesday 15 March 2023 12:30
-0.3%
-0.4%
Wednesday 15 February 2023 13:30
1.8%
3%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
Employment Cost IndexBearish change0.8%0.7%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change0.2%-0.1%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0%
ADP Employment Change 4-week averageBullish change5K6.5K
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBearish change5756.6
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change56.457.3
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBearish change4%3.5%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3.3%3.4%
JOLTS Job OpeningsBearish change6.928M6.542M
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change209K231K
Challenger Job CutsBullish change35.553K108.435K
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change51.750.3
ISM Services New Orders IndexBearish change56.553.1
ISM Services PMI(no change)53.853.8
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change65.166.6
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change52.853
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change37K22K
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change44.848.1
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBullish change47.457.1
ISM Manufacturing PMIBullish change47.952.6
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBullish change58.559
Chicago PMIBullish change43.554
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.5%
Producer Price Index (YoY)(no change)3%3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0%0.7%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change3%3.3%
Factory Orders (MoM)Bullish change-1.3%2.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change210K209K
Nonfarm Productivity(no change)4.9%4.9%
Unit Labor Costs(no change)-1.9%-1.9%
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)3.75%3.75%

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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