Retail Sales (MoM)

Retail Sales data published by the US Census Bureau is a leading indicator that gives important information about consumer spending, which has a significant impact on the GDP. Although strong sales figures are likely to boost the USD, external factors, such as weather conditions, could distort the data and paint a misleading picture. In addition to the headline data, changes in the Retail Sales Control Group could trigger a market reaction as it is used to prepare the estimates of Personal Consumption Expenditures for most goods.

Most recent - Friday 14 August 2026 12:30

Previous
0.2%
Revised
-
Forecast
0.1%
Actual
-0.6%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (MoM) was -0.6% against a forecast of 0.1%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 14 August 2026 12:30
0.1%
-0.6%
Thursday 16 July 2026 12:30
0.2%
0.2%
Wednesday 17 June 2026 12:30
0.5%
0.9%
Thursday 14 May 2026 12:30
0.5%
0.5%
Tuesday 21 April 2026 12:30
1.4%
1.7%
Wednesday 1 April 2026 12:30
0.5%
0.6%
Tuesday 17 March 2026 12:30
-
-
Friday 6 March 2026 13:30
-0.3%
-0.2%
Tuesday 10 February 2026 13:30
0.4%
0%
Wednesday 14 January 2026 13:30
0.4%
0.6%
Tuesday 16 December 2025 13:30
0.1%
0%
Tuesday 25 November 2025 13:30
0.4%
0.2%
Friday 14 November 2025 13:30
0.4%
-
Thursday 16 October 2025 12:30
0.4%
-
Tuesday 16 September 2025 12:30
0.2%
0.6%
Friday 15 August 2025 12:30
0.5%
0.5%
Thursday 17 July 2025 12:30
0.1%
0.6%
Tuesday 17 June 2025 12:30
-0.7%
-0.9%
Thursday 15 May 2025 12:30
0%
0.1%
Wednesday 16 April 2025 12:30
1.3%
1.4%
Monday 17 March 2025 12:30
0.7%
0.2%
Friday 14 February 2025 13:30
-0.1%
-0.9%
Thursday 16 January 2025 13:30
0.6%
0.4%
Tuesday 17 December 2024 13:30
0.5%
0.7%
Friday 15 November 2024 13:30
0.3%
0.4%
Thursday 17 October 2024 12:30
0.3%
0.4%
Tuesday 17 September 2024 12:30
-0.2%
0.1%
Thursday 15 August 2024 12:30
0.3%
1%
Tuesday 16 July 2024 12:30
0%
0%
Tuesday 18 June 2024 12:30
0.2%
0.1%
Wednesday 15 May 2024 12:30
0.4%
0%
Monday 15 April 2024 12:30
0.3%
0.7%
Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30
0.8%
0.6%
Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30
-0.1%
-0.8%
Wednesday 17 January 2024 13:30
0.4%
0.6%
Thursday 14 December 2023 13:30
-0.1%
0.3%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 13:30
-0.3%
-0.1%
Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30
0.3%
0.7%
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30
0.2%
0.6%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bearish change3.2%3.1%
Labor Force Participation RateBullish change61.4%61.6%
Nonfarm PayrollsBullish change21K162K
U6 Underemployment RateBullish change7.9%7.7%
Unemployment Rate(no change)4.1%4.1%
ISM Services Employment IndexBullish change47.447.8
ISM Services New Orders IndexBullish change57.260.9
ISM Services PMIBullish change54.155.4
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change70.372.6
S&P Global Composite PMI(no change)5656
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change204K206K
Nonfarm Productivity(no change)1.4%1.4%
Unit Labor CostsBearish change1.3%1.2%
Challenger Job CutsBullish change33.429K52.881K
Factory Orders (MoM)Bullish change-0.2%0.9%
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change46K38K
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBearish change52.851.2
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBearish change56.753.7
ISM Manufacturing PMIBearish change55.654.6
ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid(no change)71.171.1
JOLTS Job OpeningsBullish change7.182M7.271M
Chicago PMIBearish change57.647.1
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBullish change50.651.5
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change5151.7
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBearish change4.3%4%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation(no change)3.3%3.3%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change207K203K
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.2%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)(no change)3.3%3.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change3.4%3.6%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change0.5%1.1%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change0.3%1.3%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change1.1%0.4%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized(no change)1.5%1.5%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBullish change6.3%6.4%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change1.7%0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)(no change)3.7%3.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bullish change5.1%5.3%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.3%0.2%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change7.6%-10.5%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0%
ADP Employment Change 4-week averageBullish change9.5K11.75K

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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