

Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

The Retail Sales ex Autos released by the US Census Bureau is a monthly data that shows all goods sold by retailers based on a sampling of retail stores of different types and sizes except the automobile sector. The retail sales index is often taken as an indicator of consumer confidence. This report is the "advance" report, which can be revised fairly significantly after the final numbers are calculated. The positive economic growth anticipates bullish movements for the USD.

Hide description Full calendar

Most recent - Monday, 17 March 12:30

-0.6%

Revised

-0.6%

Forecast

0.5%

Actual

0.3%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Wednesday, 16 April 12:30

Forecast

Actual

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) was 0.3% against a forecast of 0.5%.

Past events

Date

Forecast

Actual

17 March 2025 12:30

0.5%

0.3%

14 February 2025 13:30

0.3%

-0.4%

16 January 2025 13:30

0.4%

17 December 2024 13:30

0.4%

0.2%

15 November 2024 13:30

0.3%

0.1%

17 October 2024 12:30

0.1%

0.5%

17 September 2024 12:30

0.2%

0.1%

15 August 2024 12:30

0.1%

0.4%

16 July 2024 12:30

0.1%

0.4%

18 June 2024 12:30

0.2%

-0.1%

15 May 2024 12:30

0.2%

15 April 2024 12:30

0.4%

1.1%

14 March 2024 12:30

0.5%

0.3%

15 February 2024 13:30

0.2%

-0.6%

17 January 2024 13:30

0.2%

0.4%

14 December 2023 13:30

-0.1%

0.2%

15 November 2023 13:30

0.1%

17 October 2023 12:30

0.2%

0.6%

14 September 2023 12:30

0.4%

0.6%

15 August 2023 12:30

0.4%

18 July 2023 12:30

0.3%

0.2%

15 June 2023 12:30

0.1%

16 May 2023 12:30

0.4%

14 April 2023 12:30

-0.3%

-0.8%

15 March 2023 12:30

-0.1%

15 February 2023 13:30

0.8%

2.3%

18 January 2023 13:30

-0.4%

-1.1%

15 December 2022 13:30

0.2%

-0.2%

16 November 2022 13:30

0.4%

1.3%

14 October 2022 12:30

-0.1%

0.1%

15 September 2022 12:30

0.1%

-0.3%

17 August 2022 12:30

-0.1%

0.4%

15 July 2022 12:30

0.6%

15 June 2022 12:30

0.8%

0.5%

17 May 2022 12:30

0.3%

0.6%

14 April 2022 12:30

1.1%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) result:

		Previous	Latest
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)	Bullish change	0.2%	0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)	Bearish change	4%	3.8%
Labor Force Participation Rate	Bullish change	62.4%	62.5%
Nonfarm Payrolls	Bullish change	117K	228K
U6 Underemployment Rate	Bullish change	8%	7.9%
Unemployment Rate	Bearish change	4.1%	4.2%
ISM Services Employment Index	Bearish change	53.9	46.2
ISM Services New Orders Index	Bearish change	52.2	50.4
ISM Services PMI	Bearish change	53.5	50.8
ISM Services Prices Paid	Bearish change	62.6	60.9
S&P Global Composite PMI	(no change)	53.5	53.5
Initial Jobless Claims	Bullish change	225K	219K
Challenger Job Cuts	Bullish change	172.017K	275.24K
Factory Orders (MoM)	Bearish change	1.8%	0.6%
ADP Employment Change	Bullish change	84K	155K
ISM Manufacturing Employment Index	Bearish change	47.6	44.7
ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index	Bearish change	48.6	45.2
ISM Manufacturing PMI	Bearish change	50.3	49
ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid	Bullish change	62.4	69.4
JOLTS Job Openings	Bearish change	7.762M	7.568M
Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index	Bullish change	45.5	47.6
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index	Bearish change	57.9	57
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation	Bullish change	3.9%	4.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)	Bullish change	0.3%	0.4%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	2.7%	2.8%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)	(no change)	0.3%	0.3%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)	(no change)	2.5%	2.5%
Personal Income (MoM)	Bullish change	0.7%	0.8%
Personal Spending	Bullish change	-0.3%	0.4%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)	Bullish change	-4.6%	2%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)	Bearish change	2.7%	2.6%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized	Bullish change	2.3%	2.4%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index	Bearish change	2.4%	2.3%
Initial Jobless Claims	Bullish change	225K	224K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)	(no change)	2.4%	2.4%
Durable Goods Orders	Bearish change	3.3%	0.9%
Durable Goods Orders ex Defense	Bearish change	3.7%	0.8%
Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation	Bullish change	0.1%	0.7%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft	Bearish change	0.9%	-0.3%

About Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

Country:	United States
Currency:	USD
Source:	US Census Bureau
Category:	Consumption
Frequency:	Monthly

Related events

	Australia		Retail Sales s.a. (MoM)
	China		Retail Sales (YoY)
	Germany		Retail Sales (YoY)
	Eurozone		Retail Sales (YoY)
	New Zealand		Retail Sales (QoQ)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales (MoM)
	United States		Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
	United States		Retail Sales (MoM)
	United States		Retail Sales Control Group
	Australia		Westpac Consumer Confidence
	Australia		Retail Sales (QoQ)
	Canada		Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)
	Canada		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Switzerland		Real Retail Sales (YoY)
	Germany		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Germany		Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey
	Eurozone		Consumer Confidence
	Eurozone		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Indonesia		Consumer Confidence
	Japan		Large Retailer Sales
	Japan		Retail Trade s.a (MoM)
	Japan		Retail Trade (YoY)
	New Zealand		ANZ – Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence
	New Zealand		Retail Sales ex Autos (QoQ)
	New Zealand		Westpac Consumer Survey
	United Kingdom		BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales (YoY)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)
	United Kingdom		GfK Consumer Confidence
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales (YoY)
	United States		Consumer Confidence
	United States		UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation
	United States		Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)
	United States		Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)
	United States		Personal Spending

The terms and conditions of use set out below (referred to as "FX Blue's Terms"), form a contractual agreement governing FX Blue's relationship with you in relation to your use of this Website (“Agreement”) and you agree to be legally bound by FX Blue's Terms just as if you had signed this Agreement. By using this Website and any Information, you are agreeing to comply with and be bound by FX Blue's Terms, including any revisions that may be made to FX Blue's Terms from time to time. FX Blue reserves the right, in FX Blue's sole discretion, to change, modify, add or remove portions of FX Blue's Terms at any time by posting the revisions on the Website. You should check FX Blue's Terms periodically for changes as by using the Website after FX Blue posts any changes to FX Blue's Terms, you are agreeing to accept those changes, whether or not you have reviewed them, and you waive any right you may have to receive individualised notice of such changes. FX Blue's Terms may be supplemented by additional terms and conditions pertaining to specific content and activities. You agree and understand that such additional terms and conditions are hereby incorporated by reference to FX Blue's Terms. Your continued use of the Website means that you accept any new or modified FX Blue Terms.

Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

Most recent - Monday, 17 March 12:30

Next event - Wednesday, 16 April 12:30

Trading range

Trading range after each Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) event

Forecast history

Past events

Economic context

About Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

Related events