Employment Cost Index

The Employment Cost Index (ECI), released by US Bureau of Labour Statistics, is a quarterly measure of the change in the price of labor, defined as compensation per employee hour worked. Closely watched by many economists, the ECI is an indicator of cost pressures within companies that could lead to price inflation for finished goods and services. The index measures changes in the cost of compensation not only for wages and salaries, but also for an extensive list of benefits.

Most recent - Wednesday 10 December 2025 13:30

Previous
0.9%
Revised
-
Forecast
0.9%
Actual
0.8%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Tuesday 10 February 2026 13:30

Previous
0.8%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Employment Cost Index yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Employment Cost Index was 0.8% against a forecast of 0.9%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Wednesday 10 December 2025 13:30
0.9%
0.8%
Friday 31 October 2025 12:30
0.9%
-
Thursday 31 July 2025 12:30
0.8%
0.9%
Wednesday 30 April 2025 12:30
0.9%
0.9%
Friday 31 January 2025 13:30
0.9%
0.9%
Thursday 31 October 2024 12:30
0.9%
0.8%
Wednesday 31 July 2024 12:30
1%
0.9%
Tuesday 30 April 2024 12:30
1%
1.2%
Wednesday 31 January 2024 13:30
1%
0.9%
Tuesday 31 October 2023 12:30
1%
1.1%
Friday 28 July 2023 12:30
1.1%
1%
Friday 28 April 2023 12:30
1.1%
1.2%
Tuesday 31 January 2023 13:30
1.1%
1%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Employment Cost Index result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBullish change5557
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change5456.4
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBearish change4.2%4%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3.4%3.3%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change52.752.8
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change51.851.9
S&P Global Services PMI(no change)52.552.5
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.2%0.2%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.7%2.8%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.2%0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.7%2.8%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.3%
Personal Spending(no change)0.5%0.5%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.2%0.2%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.8%2.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.8%2.7%
Personal Income (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.1%
Personal SpendingBullish change0.3%0.5%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change199K200K
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)(no change)2.9%2.9%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change4.3%4.4%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index(no change)3.7%3.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)2.8%2.8%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bearish change3.3%-9.3%
ADP Employment Change 4-week averageBearish change11.25K8K
Industrial Production (MoM)(no change)0.4%0.4%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change207K198K
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-3.77.7
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBullish change-8.812.6
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change0.7%5.1%
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.8%3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change2.9%3%
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.6%0.1%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3%2.8%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)(no change)2.9%2.9%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.6%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change0.6%0.4%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.5%
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-173B$-145B
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change3.8%-0.1%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change11.3%3.8%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.7%2.7%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)(no change)0.2%0.2%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)(no change)2.6%2.6%
ADP Employment Change 4-week averageBullish change11K11.75K

About Employment Cost Index

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Quarterly
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