Employment Cost Index

The Employment Cost Index (ECI), released by US Bureau of Labour Statistics, is a quarterly measure of the change in the price of labor, defined as compensation per employee hour worked. Closely watched by many economists, the ECI is an indicator of cost pressures within companies that could lead to price inflation for finished goods and services. The index measures changes in the cost of compensation not only for wages and salaries, but also for an extensive list of benefits.

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Most recent - Friday 31 January 2025 13:30

0.8%

Revised

Forecast

0.9%

Actual

0.9%

Next event - Wednesday 30 April 2025 12:30

0.9%

Forecast

Actual

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Employment Cost Index yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Employment Cost Index was 0.9% against a forecast of 0.9%.

Past events

Date

Forecast

Actual

Friday 31 January 2025 13:30

0.9%

Thursday 31 October 2024 12:30

0.9%

0.8%

Wednesday 31 July 2024 12:30

0.9%

Tuesday 30 April 2024 12:30

1.2%

Wednesday 31 January 2024 13:30

0.9%

Tuesday 31 October 2023 12:30

1.1%

Friday 28 July 2023 12:30

1.1%

Friday 28 April 2023 12:30

1.1%

1.2%

Tuesday 31 January 2023 13:30

1.1%

Friday 28 October 2022 12:30

1.2%

Friday 29 July 2022 12:30

1.2%

1.3%

Friday 29 April 2022 12:30

1.1%

1.4%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Employment Cost Index result:

		Previous	Latest
Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index	Bullish change	39.5	45.5
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)	Bullish change	0.2%	0.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)	Bearish change	2.9%	2.6%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)	(no change)	0.3%	0.3%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)	Bearish change	2.6%	2.5%
Personal Income (MoM)	Bullish change	0.4%	0.9%
Personal Spending	Bearish change	0.8%	-0.2%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)	Bearish change	-4.1%	-4.6%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)	Bullish change	2.5%	2.7%
Durable Goods Orders	Bullish change	-1.8%	3.1%
Durable Goods Orders ex Defense	Bullish change	-1.8%	3.5%
Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation	Bearish change	0.1%	0%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized	(no change)	2.3%	2.3%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index	Bullish change	2.2%	2.4%
Initial Jobless Claims	Bearish change	220K	242K
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft	Bullish change	0.4%	0.8%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)	Bullish change	2.3%	2.4%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)	Bearish change	8.1%	-10.5%
Housing Price Index (MoM)	(no change)	0.4%	0.4%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)	Bearish change	2.9%	-4.9%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index	Bearish change	67.8	64.7
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation	Bullish change	3.3%	3.5%
S&P Global Composite PMI	Bearish change	52.7	50.4
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI	Bullish change	51.2	51.6
S&P Global Services PMI	Bearish change	52.9	49.7
Initial Jobless Claims	Bearish change	214K	219K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey	Bearish change	44.3	18.1
Building Permits (MoM)	Bullish change	1.482M	1.483M
Housing Starts (MoM)	Bearish change	1.515M	1.366M
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index	Bullish change	-12.6	5.7

About Employment Cost Index

Country:	United States
Currency:	USD
Source:	US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Category:	Labor Market
Frequency:	Quarterly

Related events

	Australia		Unemployment Rate s.a.
	Australia		Employment Change s.a.
	Canada		Unemployment Rate
	Canada		Net Change in Employment
	New Zealand		Unemployment Rate
	New Zealand		Employment Change
	United Kingdom		Employment Change
	United Kingdom		ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)
	United Kingdom		Claimant Count Change
	United States		Nonfarm Payrolls
	United States		ADP Employment Change
	United States		Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)
	United States		Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)
	Australia		Wage Price Index (QoQ)
	Australia		Part-Time Employment
	Australia		Participation Rate
	Australia		Full-Time Employment
	Canada		Average Hourly Wages (YoY)
	Germany		Unemployment Change
	Germany		Unemployment Rate s.a.
	Eurozone		Unemployment Rate
	Eurozone		Employment Change (QoQ)
	Japan		Labor Cash Earnings (YoY)
	Japan		Unemployment Rate
	New Zealand		Participation Rate
	New Zealand		Labour Cost Index (QoQ)
	United Kingdom		Claimant Count Rate
	United Kingdom		Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr)
	United Kingdom		Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr)
	United States		ISM Manufacturing Employment Index
	United States		Unit Labor Costs
	United States		Personal Income (MoM)
	United States		Nonfarm Payrolls Benchmark Revision
	United States		ISM Services Employment Index
	United States		Unemployment Rate
	United States		Nonfarm Productivity
	United States		JOLTS Job Openings
	United States		Initial Jobless Claims
	United States		Challenger Job Cuts
	United States		Labor Force Participation Rate
	United States		U6 Underemployment Rate

Calendar - Employment Cost Index - United States

Employment Cost Index

Most recent - Friday 31 January 2025 13:30

Next event - Wednesday 30 April 2025 12:30

Trading range

Trading range after each Employment Cost Index event

Forecast history

Past events

Economic context

About Employment Cost Index

Related events