Goods Trade Balance

The Goods Trade Balance released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau is the difference in value between imported and exported goods during a certain month. The figure will be released monthly basis, between 4-7 days before the International Trade Balance, presenting advanced statistics for the reference month. Given that the it started in July 2015, volatility could be erratic during the first releases, although should be understood that higher exports and less imports are dollar positive, whilst the other way around, should produce a negative effect on the USD.

Next event - Friday 27 December 2024 13:30

Previous
$-98.7B
Forecast
$-100.9B
Actual
-

The typical/expected market impact of this event is low.

The consensus forecast for Goods Trade Balance is $-100.9B. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Most recent - Thursday 5 December 2024 13:30

Previous
$-99.1B
Revised
-
Forecast
-
Actual
$-98.7B

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Goods Trade Balance was $-98.7B.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 5 December 2024 13:30
-
$-98.7B
Wednesday 27 November 2024 13:30
$-99.9B
$-99.1B
Tuesday 5 November 2024 13:30
-
$-109B
Tuesday 29 October 2024 12:30
$-96.1B
$-108.2B
Tuesday 8 October 2024 12:30
-
$-94.9B
Friday 27 September 2024 12:30
$-99.4B
$-94.3B
Wednesday 4 September 2024 12:30
-
$-103.1B
Thursday 29 August 2024 12:30
$-97.5B
$-102.7B
Tuesday 6 August 2024 12:30
-
$-97.4B
Wednesday 24 July 2024 12:30
$-98B
$-96.8B
Wednesday 3 July 2024 12:30
-
$-100.2B
Thursday 27 June 2024 12:30
$-96B
$-100.6B
Thursday 6 June 2024 12:30
-
$-99.2B
Thursday 30 May 2024 12:30
$-91.8B
$-99.4B
Thursday 2 May 2024 12:30
-
$-92.5B
Thursday 25 April 2024 12:30
$-91.2B
$-91.8B
Thursday 4 April 2024 12:30
-
$-91.4B
Friday 29 March 2024 12:30
-
$-91.8B
Thursday 7 March 2024 13:30
-
$-91.6B
Wednesday 28 February 2024 13:30
-
$-90.2B
Wednesday 7 February 2024 13:30
-
$-89.1B
Thursday 25 January 2024 13:30
-
$-88.5B
Tuesday 9 January 2024 13:30
-
$-89.4B
Thursday 28 December 2023 13:30
-
$-90.3B
Wednesday 6 December 2023 13:30
-
$-89.8B
Wednesday 29 November 2023 13:30
$-86.4B
$-89.8B
Tuesday 7 November 2023 13:30
-
$-86.3B
Thursday 26 October 2023 12:30
$-85.5B
$-85.8B
Thursday 5 October 2023 12:30
-
$-84.5B
Friday 29 September 2023 12:30
-
$-84.3B
Wednesday 6 September 2023 12:30
-
$-90B
Wednesday 30 August 2023 12:30
-
$-91.2B
Tuesday 8 August 2023 12:30
-
$-88.2B
Thursday 27 July 2023 12:30
$-91.8B
$-87.8B
Thursday 6 July 2023 12:30
-
$-91.3B
Wednesday 28 June 2023 12:30
-
$-91.1B
Wednesday 7 June 2023 12:30
-
$-96.1B
Friday 26 May 2023 12:30
$-85.7B
$-96.8B
Thursday 4 May 2023 12:30
-
$-86.6B
Wednesday 26 April 2023 12:30
$-89B
$-84.6B
Wednesday 5 April 2023 12:30
-
$-93B
Tuesday 28 March 2023 12:30
$-91B
$-91.6B
Wednesday 8 March 2023 13:30
-
$-90.1B
Tuesday 28 February 2023 13:30
-
$-91.5B
Tuesday 7 February 2023 13:30
-
$-90.6B
Thursday 26 January 2023 13:30
-
$-90.3B
Thursday 5 January 2023 13:30
-
$-84.1B
Tuesday 27 December 2022 13:30
-
$-83.3B
Tuesday 6 December 2022 13:30
-
$-98.8B
Wednesday 30 November 2022 13:30
-
$-99B
Thursday 3 November 2022 12:30
-
$-92.7B
Wednesday 26 October 2022 12:30
-
$-92.2B
Wednesday 5 October 2022 12:30
-
$-87.6B
Wednesday 28 September 2022 12:30
-
$-87.3B
Wednesday 7 September 2022 12:30
-
$-91.1B
Friday 26 August 2022 12:30
-
$-89.1B
Thursday 4 August 2022 12:30
-
$-99.5B
Wednesday 27 July 2022 12:30
-
$-98.2B
Thursday 7 July 2022 12:30
-
$-105B
Tuesday 28 June 2022 12:30
-
$-104.3B
Tuesday 7 June 2022 12:30
-
$-107.7B
Friday 27 May 2022 12:30
-
$-105.9B
Wednesday 4 May 2022 12:30
-
$-128.1B
Wednesday 27 April 2022 12:30
-
$-125.3B
Tuesday 5 April 2022 12:30
-
$-107.5B
Monday 28 March 2022 12:30
-
$-106.6B
Tuesday 8 March 2022 13:30
-
$-108.9B
Monday 28 February 2022 13:30
-
$-107.6B
Tuesday 8 February 2022 13:30
-
$-101.4B
Wednesday 26 January 2022 13:30
-
$-100.9B
Thursday 6 January 2022 13:30
-
$-99B
Wednesday 29 December 2021 13:30
-
$-97.8B

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Goods Trade Balance result:

PreviousLatest
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change220K219K
Durable Goods OrdersBearish change0.8%-1.1%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBearish change1%-0.3%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change0.2%-0.1%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-14.8%5.9%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-0.1%0.7%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index(no change)7474
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3.1%3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.8%2.8%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.3%2.4%
Personal Income (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.3%
Personal SpendingBullish change0.3%0.4%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change3.4%4.8%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change242K220K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change-5.5-16.4
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change2.1%2.2%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change2.8%3.1%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index(no change)1.9%1.9%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)1.5%1.5%
Fed Interest Rate DecisionBearish change4.75%4.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change3.4%3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBullish change2.9%3.4%
Interest Rate Projections - 3rd yearBullish change2.9%3.1%
Interest Rate Projections - Current(no change)4.4%4.4%
Interest Rate Projections - LongerBullish change2.9%3%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.419M1.505M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.312M1.289M
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change-0.4%-0.1%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change0.5%0.7%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change-0.1%0.4%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)(no change)0.2%0.2%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change54.956.6
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change49.748.3
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change56.158.5
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBearish change31.20.2

About Goods Trade Balance

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Category:Capital Flows
Frequency:Monthly
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