ILO Unemployment

The ILO Unemployment Rate released by INSEE is the number of unemployed workers compared to all the active workers in the economy. If the number rises, it indicates a lack of expansion within the French labor market and thus a weakening in the economy. Normally, a decrease in the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Euro, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Tuesday 10 February 2026 06:30

Previous
7.7%
Revised
-
Forecast
7.8%
Actual
7.9%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/EUR pairs and bearish for EUR/xxx pairs.

Next event - Wednesday 13 May 2026 05:30

Previous
7.9%
Forecast
7.8%
Actual
-

The typical/expected market impact of this event is low.

The consensus forecast for ILO Unemployment is 7.8%. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for xxx/EUR pairs and bearish for EUR/xxx pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for ILO Unemployment was 7.9% against a forecast of 7.8%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Tuesday 10 February 2026 06:30
7.8%
7.9%
Thursday 13 November 2025 06:30
7.6%
7.7%
Friday 8 August 2025 05:30
7.5%
7.5%
Friday 16 May 2025 05:30
7.4%
7.4%
Tuesday 11 February 2025 06:30
7.5%
7.3%
Wednesday 13 November 2024 06:30
7.4%
7.4%
Friday 9 August 2024 05:30
7.5%
7.3%
Friday 17 May 2024 05:30
7.4%
7.5%
Tuesday 13 February 2024 06:30
7.4%
7.5%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 06:30
-
7.4%
Friday 11 August 2023 05:30
7.1%
7.2%
Wednesday 17 May 2023 05:30
7.1%
7.1%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for EUR. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next ILO Unemployment result:

PreviousLatest
Industrial Production n.s.a. w.d.a. (YoY)Bearish change-0.2%-2.8%
Industrial Production s.a. (MoM)Bearish change-0.5%-0.7%
Trade Balance s.a.Bearish change€19.5B€14.3B
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change-0.3%-0.1%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change1.3%1.2%
Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY)Bullish change3.5%6.3%
Factory Orders s.a. (MoM)Bullish change1.4%5%
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.6%3.4%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change-3%2.1%
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change48.648.8
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change48.348.4
HCOB Services PMI(no change)46.946.9
HCOB Services PMIBearish change53.347.9
Sentix Investor ConfidenceBullish change-19.2-16.4
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change51.251.4
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change51.352.1
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change48.751.7
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bullish change0.8%0.9%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bearish change2.3%2.2%
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY)Bearish change1.2%0.8%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change1.3%1%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change2.6%3%
Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY)Bullish change1.6%2.9%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change1.7%2.8%
Unemployment RateBullish change6.3%6.2%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Gross Domestic Product w.d.a (YoY)Bearish change0.6%0.5%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bearish change0.8%0.7%
Unemployment ChangeBearish change0K20K
Unemployment Rate s.a.Bearish change6.3%6.4%
Gross Domestic Product - Estimated (QoQ)Bearish change0.8%0.6%
Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY)Bullish change2%2.5%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change-0.3%-2%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change0.9%-2%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bearish change0.2%0%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change1.1%0.6%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.7%2.9%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change1.2%0.5%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change2.8%2.9%
Business ClimateBearish change-0.27-0.28
Consumer Confidence(no change)-20.6-20.6
Economic Sentiment IndicatorBearish change96.293
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change3.4%3.5%

About ILO Unemployment

Country:France
Currency:EUR
Source:INSEE
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Quarterly
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