Retail Sales (YoY)

Retail Sales data published by the US Census Bureau is a leading indicator that gives important information about consumer spending, which has a significant impact on the GDP. Although strong sales figures are likely to boost the USD, external factors, such as weather conditions, could distort the data and paint a misleading picture. In addition to the headline data, changes in the Retail Sales Control Group could trigger a market reaction as it is used to prepare the estimates of Personal Consumption Expenditures for most goods.

Most recent - Thursday 15 May 2025 12:30

Previous
4.6%
Revised
5.2%
Actual
5.2%

Next event - Tuesday 17 June 2025 12:30

Previous
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected market impact of this event is low.

Trading range

Announcement history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (YoY) was 5.2%.

Past events

Date
Actual
Thursday 15 May 2025 12:30
5.2%
Wednesday 16 April 2025 12:30
4.6%
Monday 17 March 2025 12:30
3.1%
Friday 14 February 2025 13:30
4.2%
Thursday 16 January 2025 13:30
3.9%
Tuesday 17 December 2024 13:30
3.8%
Friday 15 November 2024 13:30
2.8%
Thursday 17 October 2024 12:30
1.7%
Tuesday 17 September 2024 12:30
2.1%
Thursday 15 August 2024 12:30
2.7%
Tuesday 16 July 2024 12:30
2.3%
Tuesday 18 June 2024 12:30
2.3%
Wednesday 15 May 2024 12:30
3%
Monday 15 April 2024 12:30
4%
Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30
1.5%
Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30
0.6%
Wednesday 17 January 2024 13:30
5.6%
Thursday 14 December 2023 13:30
4.1%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 13:30
2.5%
Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30
3.8%
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30
2.5%
Tuesday 15 August 2023 12:30
3.2%
Tuesday 18 July 2023 12:30
1.5%
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30
1.6%
Tuesday 16 May 2023 12:30
1.6%
Friday 14 April 2023 12:30
2.9%
Wednesday 15 March 2023 12:30
5.4%
Wednesday 15 February 2023 13:30
6.4%
Wednesday 18 January 2023 13:30
6%
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30
6.5%
Wednesday 16 November 2022 13:30
8.4%
Friday 14 October 2022 12:30
8.4%
Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30
9.4%
Wednesday 17 August 2022 12:30
10%
Friday 15 July 2022 12:30
8.4%
Wednesday 15 June 2022 12:30
8.1%
Tuesday 17 May 2022 12:30
8.2%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (YoY) result:

PreviousLatest
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change-0.3%0%
Initial Jobless Claims(no change)229K229K
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBearish change-8.1-9.2
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBullish change-26.4-4
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0%-0.5%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.7%2.4%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.4%-0.4%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change4%3.1%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change1.5%0.1%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change0.5%-0.2%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change0.8%0.1%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.2%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.4%2.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.2%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)(no change)2.8%2.8%
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-161B$258B
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change241K228K
Nonfarm ProductivityBearish change1.7%-0.8%
Unit Labor CostsBullish change2%5.7%
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)4.5%4.5%
ISM Services Employment IndexBullish change46.249
ISM Services New Orders IndexBullish change50.452.3
ISM Services PMIBullish change50.851.6
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change60.965.1
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change51.250.6
Factory Orders (MoM)Bullish change0.5%4.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)(no change)3.8%3.8%
Labor Force Participation RateBullish change62.5%62.6%
Nonfarm PayrollsBearish change185K177K
U6 Underemployment RateBullish change7.9%7.8%
Unemployment Rate(no change)4.2%4.2%

About Retail Sales (YoY)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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